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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 23rd, 2023

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  • The “hard truth” sounds like “AI isn’t replacing programmers anytime soon.”

    A nice summary provided by the authors:

    How developers are actually using AI. Very different usages for “bootstrappers” versus “iterators.” Perhaps a reason why one tool is unlikely to work equally well for both groups?

    The 70% problem: AI’s learning curve paradox. Lesser-talked-about challenges with AI: the “two steps back paradox,” the hidden cost of “AI speed,” and the “knowledge paradox.”

    What actually works: practical patterns. AI-first draft, constant conversation, and “trust but verify” patterns.

    What does this mean for developers? Start small, stay modular, and trust your experience.

    The rise of agentic software engineering. A shift to collaborating with AI, multi-modal capabilities, autonomous but guided approaches, and an “English-first” development environment.

    The return of software as a craft? The lost art of polish to return, and the renaissance of personal software.

    Additional thoughts. A good time to refresh what software engineering really is and how it has been the dream of needing no developers since the 1960s. And still, demand for experienced engineers could well increase in the future, rather than decrease.




  • I don’t think prototype testing really reflects on the market either way. Starship is going to enable new markets, with designs that are currently unlaunchable and incredibly inexpensive tonnage to orbit.

    Heavy was deprecated because advancements with F9 made it nearly as capable, and only certain mission profiles require the extra cores. The engineering to adapt F9 into Heavy was onerous enough to make upgraded Heavy not worthwhile for few payloads.