• g0d0fm15ch13f@lemmy.worldMEnglish
    1·
    7 days ago

    Alright, finally got around to my 100% human poll.

    1. Penn State
    2. Ohio State
    3. Georgia
    4. Texas
    5. LSU
    6. Oregon
    7. Miami (FL)
    8. Florida
    9. Notre Dame
    10. Tennessee
    11. Oklahoma
    12. Arizona State
    13. South Carolina
    14. Illinois
    15. Texas A&M
    16. Ole Miss
    17. Michigan
    18. USC
    19. Alabama
    20. SMU
    21. Utah
    22. Iowa State
    23. Texas Tech
    24. USF
    25. Auburn
  • anhydrous@lemmy.worldEnglish
    4·
    8 days ago

    Finally got around to making an algorithm. Methodology: Combine team W-L record with “best win”; helps to neuter complications with teams having played a different number of games. Unfortunately, there’s not a lot of data yet, so there’s not a lot to differentiate 1-0 teams from one another.

    The algorithm gives me:

    • 1: Iowa State, by a small margin (they beat someone who also beat someone else)
    • 2-T: Arizona
    • 2-T: Kansas
    • 4-T: 80-something-way tie

    Observations:

    • It has South Alabama above Alabama
    • Hawai’i is also above Alabama

    After some human-bias-led tie-breaking:

    1. Iowa State
    2. Kansas
    3. Arizona
    4. an Ohio State
    5. LSU

    …

    1. Texas Tech
    • g0d0fm15ch13f@lemmy.worldMEnglish
      2·
      9 days ago

      I did indeed, that should be fixed now. And that spreadsheet should also now be open to anyone with the link

  • WVbrU@lemmy.worldEnglish
    2·
    8 days ago

    My computer is definitely capable of putting together a coherent ranking based off of a single full week of football, despite knowing nothing about any of the teams except the scores for this season’s games. Therefore, you should take this computer ranking very seriously!

    1. Maryland
    2. Penn State
    3. USC
    4. Purdue
    5. Iowa State
    6. Michigan
    7. Washington
    8. Auburn
    9. Kansas
    10. Georgia
    11. Ole Miss
    12. Ohio State
    13. Tennessee
    14. Mississippi State
    15. Michigan State
    16. Wisconsin
    17. Texas A&M
    18. Indiana
    19. LSU
    20. Nebraska
    21. South Carolina
    22. Minnesota
    23. Utah
    24. Arizona
    25. TCU
    Full Rankings
    Rank Team Record Rating SOS
    1 Maryland (1-0) 1101 936
    2 Penn State (1-0) 1100 929
    3 USC (1-0) 1099 917
    4 Purdue (1-0) 1098 910
    5 Iowa State (2-0) 1096 675
    6 Michigan (1-0) 1094 935
    7 Washington (1-0) 1094 935
    8 Auburn (1-0) 1093 946
    9 Kansas (2-0) 1093 700
    10 Georgia (1-0) 1092 917
    11 Ole Miss (1-0) 1092 917
    12 Ohio State (1-0) 1091 973
    13 Tennessee (1-0) 1091 946
    14 Mississippi State (1-0) 1091 918
    15 Michigan State (1-0) 1091 917
    16 Wisconsin (1-0) 1091 917
    17 Texas A&M (1-0) 1089 940
    18 Indiana (1-0) 1089 928
    19 LSU (1-0) 1088 949
    20 Nebraska (1-0) 1087 960
    21 South Carolina (1-0) 1087 950
    22 Minnesota (1-0) 1087 921
    23 Utah (1-0) 1083 964
    24 Arizona (1-0) 1081 974
    25 TCU (1-0) 1081 939
    26 California (1-0) 1076 928
    27 Florida State (1-0) 1074 963
    28 Rutgers (1-0) 1074 934
    29 Virginia (1-0) 1074 916
    30 Kentucky (1-0) 1073 927
    31 Georgia Tech (1-0) 1072 948
    32 Western Kentucky (2-0) 1071 628
    33 Tulane (1-0) 1070 967
    34 Temple (1-0) 1069 904
    35 South Florida (1-0) 1067 927
    36 NC State (1-0) 1064 946
    37 Illinois (1-0) 1063 400
    38 Oregon (1-0) 1061 400
    39 Miami (1-0) 1058 947
    40 UCF (1-0) 1058 933
    41 Florida (1-0) 1058 400
    42 Missouri (1-0) 1058 400
    43 Wake Forest (1-0) 1056 933
    44 Wyoming (1-0) 1054 911
    45 Arkansas (1-0) 1053 400
    46 App State (1-0) 1052 930
    47 Rice (1-0) 1052 930
    48 Utah State (1-0) 1052 921
    49 Vanderbilt (1-0) 1050 400
    50 UNLV (2-0) 1049 628
    51 Texas State (1-0) 1047 906
    52 BYU (1-0) 1043 400
    53 Texas Tech (1-0) 1043 400
    54 Oklahoma (1-0) 1042 400
    55 Boston College (1-0) 1040 400
    56 Iowa (1-0) 1040 400
    57 Pittsburgh (1-0) 1039 400
    58 Central Michigan (1-0) 1034 931
    59 West Virginia (1-0) 1034 400
    60 North Texas (1-0) 1031 400
    61 Navy (1-0) 1027 400
    62 Louisville (1-0) 1023 400
    63 UConn (1-0) 1023 400
    64 Houston (1-0) 1016 400
    65 Memphis (1-0) 1016 400
    66 San Diego State (1-0) 1016 400
    67 SMU (1-0) 1016 400
    68 Duke (1-0) 1015 400
    69 Oklahoma State (1-0) 1011 400
    70 Arizona State (1-0) 1010 400
    71 Air Force (1-0) 1008 400
    72 Tulsa (1-0) 1007 400
    73 Fresno State (1-1) 999 1002
    74 UAB (1-0) 998 400
    75 James Madison (1-0) 996 400
    76 Florida International (1-0) 995 400
    77 Washington State (1-0) 992 400
    78 UL Monroe (1-0) 989 400
    79 Louisiana Tech (1-0) 983 400
    80 Arkansas State (1-0) 981 400
    81 Liberty (1-0) 981 400
    82 South Alabama (1-0) 981 400
    83 Troy (1-0) 981 400
    84 Delaware (1-0) 980 400
    85 New Mexico State (1-0) 979 400
    86 Hawai’i (1-1) 974 1020
    87 Texas (0-1) 973 1091
    88 Bowling Green (1-0) 973 400
    89 Kent State (1-0) 970 400
    90 Northern Illinois (1-0) 970 400
    91 Northwestern (0-1) 967 1070
    92 UCLA (0-1) 964 1083
    93 Alabama (0-1) 963 1074
    94 Cincinnati (0-1) 960 1087
    95 Stanford (0-1) 958 974
    96 Virginia Tech (0-1) 950 1087
    97 Kansas State (1-1) 950 748
    98 Clemson (0-1) 949 1088
    99 Colorado (0-1) 948 1072
    100 Notre Dame (0-1) 947 1058
    101 Baylor (0-1) 946 1093
    102 Syracuse (0-1) 946 1091
    103 East Carolina (0-1) 946 1064
    104 UTSA (0-1) 940 1089
    105 North Carolina (0-1) 939 1081
    106 Florida Atlantic (0-1) 936 1101
    107 Colorado State (0-1) 935 1094
    108 New Mexico (0-1) 935 1094
    109 Ohio (0-1) 934 1074
    110 Jacksonville State (0-1) 933 1058
    111 Kennesaw State (0-1) 933 1056
    112 San José State (0-1) 931 1034
    113 Charlotte (0-1) 930 1052
    114 Louisiana (0-1) 930 1052
    115 Nevada (0-1) 929 1100
    116 Old Dominion (0-1) 928 1089
    117 Oregon State (0-1) 928 1076
    118 Toledo (0-1) 927 1073
    119 Boise State (0-1) 927 1067
    120 Buffalo (0-1) 921 1087
    121 UTEP (0-1) 921 1052
    122 Southern Miss (0-1) 918 1091
    123 Missouri State (0-1) 917 1099
    124 Georgia State (0-1) 917 1092
    125 Marshall (0-1) 917 1092
    126 Miami (OH) (0-1) 917 1091
    127 Western Michigan (0-1) 917 1091
    128 Coastal Carolina (0-1) 916 1074
    129 Akron (0-1) 911 1054
    130 Ball State (0-1) 910 1098
    131 Georgia Southern (0-1) 910 999
    132 Eastern Michigan (0-1) 906 1047
    133 Massachusetts (0-1) 904 1069
    134 Army (0-1) 896 400
    135 Middle Tennessee (0-1) 875 400
    136 Sam Houston (0-2) 857 1060
    • g0d0fm15ch13f@lemmy.worldMEnglish
      2·
      7 days ago

      Thought that was just a standard disclaimer then just about did a spit take seeing your number one. But hey, any poll that has the vols higher than the AP is a good poll if you ask me.

      • WVbrU@lemmy.worldEnglish
        2·
        7 days ago

        Haha, it was surprising to say the least! My wife went to UMD so she isn’t complaining. 😂

    • WVbrU@lemmy.worldEnglish
      1·
      8 days ago

      I ran out of characters to explain my computer poll. It is based off of an ELO rating system with a few additions/adjustments to compensate for the relatively few games per team, limited cross-conference games, and FCS opponents:

      • The season is run many times, with ratings being reeled back most of the way to the average rating (1000).

      • Performance against the computer’s expected spread is taken into account (to an extent). This means a winning team can still lose rating points, but that’s not very common.

      • Conferences get a pseudo-rating based on non-conference games. This is used to adjust expectations for those games.

      • All FCS teams are assumed to have a 400 rating. (I’ve tried rating them, but I haven’t figured out how to prevent ratings inflation.)

      This algorithm does not know or care about individual players, advanced stats, or historical performance. All it knows about each game is the week, teams playing, and scores. Every team (and conference) starts at 1000 rating.