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Joined 5 years ago
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Cake day: June 29th, 2020

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  • I don’t suppose there’s a window you could sit by that might let some sunlight fall on you for a bit every day or so? Not the same as walking but it might be something, a half measure that might give you some of that, maybe a window you could crack open too to get that fresh air and some sunlight in and just sit there in it early morning or evening to get some of that experience.

    I’m sorry comrade, I hope you’re able to find something that offers a measure of relief for this whole situation though I don’t have any ideas other than these I guess. I know personally just sitting outside for a bit at the right hours in good weather can be very refreshing and energizing even without the walking so I’m kind of hoping you might be able to find some solution involving a window and the right time of day.


  • It’s understandable but well I guess you can try to look at the bright side. Online connectivity means though you’re inside you don’t have to be trapped mentally, you can do so many things. I think just occasionally maybe looking out a window, looking up nature videos online, things like that might help. It’s hard but it’s best not to dwell too much on can’ts and what we can’t do but instead try to find cans we enjoy. I mean it’s bound to be tough and it’s natural I think to feel frustration and not be able to totally get over it or forget what’s longed for but out of reach for now. But you do what you can and try to find little pieces of enjoyment. Maybe try meditation with nature sounds or something. I wish I had more specific advice.


  • I’m sorry about all you’re going through. Have you considered trying to find some enjoyable social things to do online? Hexbear has movie and TV show watching nights every evening of the week for instance and there are all kinds of other activities from playing chess to chat rooms that don’t have to cost money.

    I would avoid catastrophizing about what might happen with a condition. Instead just try and focus on doing what you can to take care of it within what you have and not overdoing it, don’t worry too much and find things to distract yourself with whether it’s reading a book or online activities with others. Try if you can to find little moments of joy or laughter in a comedy show or movie and do what you can. I really hope things go well for you and your appeal works out.



  • I feel for you comrade but I really must advise you that unless your parents are wealthy and willing to set you up you really need either a HS diploma or a GED. You can get GED’s online often. RV’s are expensive, even used ones cost a lot of money and there are maintenance concerns. The type of money you’re going to struggle to get without a GED or diploma.

    I’d recommend if you think school isn’t for you that you get that GED, you find a trade, you get certifications in it or whatever and you start working on that path. I knew someone in a similar situation to yours, ADHD, only they lied about college not HS. They had dreams of van-life and things like that but didn’t do anything about it and though their parents let them live with them for a while what eventually happened is both retired, felt money was too tight and they moved away and left this person homeless. If they hadn’t had an uncle willing to take them in they would have been on the streets and in terrible danger but even so things are not that great for them.

    So I’d highly recommend getting that GED since conventional school doesn’t agree with you and then picking up a trade. Because life will be sooo much better and easier for you if you do those two things and it’ll give you the money and ability to move away from your family and live how you want in a secure way that retail work (where you’re often not paid enough to survive and have to roommate up) just often won’t in many areas (especially heading into a trade war with tariffs where retail could crash). You’ll have so much more to fall back on than without them where you’re going to kind of be a leaf on the wind which can sound kind of romantic but for every great writer who has that kind of bumming around and bumping into success as a backstory there a thousand people who are suffering and stuck on the streets sometimes until they die who tried doing the same thing but failed and were abandoned whose stories are never told in our capitalist society. Don’t think the odds will favor you, take care of yourself, be safe but get a plan, find a trade, get a GED. It’s some work and pain now yes but it saves you a lot of work and pain later and for the rest of your life compared to trying to go without.

    Looking at that list darkernations posted, pretty much everything there requires at least high school degree (or GED) and/or on top of that some certifications or community college.




  • I think it would be a mistake to view China as isolated in this.

    In -ALL- of this? No. In this specific situation where everyone else has already slipped the tariffs? Yes. Absolutely they’re standing on their own basically in the immediate moment.

    As to US soft power I think Trump was already the sign that they’ve given up on that. If they hadn’t they wouldn’t be gutting all the soft power operations with DOGE and doing so much damage to image with threats to annex Greenland and Canada. I think the die has been cast there that hard imperialism is the way forward, cold war 1.0 playbook basically. I think Ukraine was a wake-up call because US propaganda didn’t pull in the global south, it just plain failed outside of Europe and US vassals in Asia. What soft power they retain will be aimed at “traditional values” crowd as in the cold war, running up red-scare stuff about Chinese commies gay marrying you against your will and things like that.

    America is very much in a do or die situation and we know it, they know it, China knows it. They’re trying to undergo a transformation which will either succeed in prolonging their grip on power or hastening their demise, the way to delay and hedge against either was to continue the old path but that led to certain doom while this they feel gives them a chance.


  • So many people here who are so uncharitable towards me…

    Please point out where I said “this plan is brilliant and guaranteed to succeed and socialism and China are doomed and we’re fucked and Trump and the US are the most masterful planners to ever exist” or anything along those lines which everyone seems to assume I’ve said based on the hostile response.

    Not a one of you has pointed out how this is impossible for the US planners to be thinking this or acting along these lines. It’s no more ridiculous than assuming it’s all just Trump throwing a tantrum or doing greedy things which to me is true absurdity when it’s clear there are bipartisan plans. It’s buying into the liberal lie that Trump is some aberration breaking things which were it the case Biden would have reversed a lot of his decisions instead of doubling down.


  • We shall see won’t we? I wouldn’t discount dollar hegemony and control of things like SWIFT given the replacements are years away still. For that matter I wouldn’t discount how Europeans and a few other vassals may be happy or coerced into offering themselves as firewood for the US empire to keep it going.

    Notice to the downvoters: I never said this would work I just said I think this is their thinking. But apparently even the idea that the reactionaries have some sort of cogent thought or plan in their head is anathema to far too many people here. I’m sorry to say there is at times in the western left a kind of circle-jerk of acceptable logic. It pays to at times attempt to get into the heads of our enemies.


  • This is just phase 2.

    IF Trump was rattled by China’s retaliation he would include them in the pause and pretend it had nothing to do with them, he’d attempt to play it off as a global thing so as to not given undue impression of power on China’s part. That he hasn’t tells you he doesn’t care.

    The point of this was never hurting say India. It was always about China, other nations were included to disguise this fact and to shake them down because why not. Also to pressure them to bring them into the fold for the next phase.

    But the fact that China’s tariffs were increased, not removed tells you all you need to know. Namely they are absolutely dead serious about decoupling from China.

    India is not going to help China, they’re a reactionary/fascist nation actively trying to stab China in the back and take their industry and courting the US for a trade deal which the US will give them in exchange for helping move important (iphone, etc) manufacturing from China to India for the US. China is courting them anyways in public but it won’t work. The only real allies China has in this are likely to be Vietnam (maybe, US is trying to peel them from China and stoke division and these moves were going to badly hurt Vietnam but were pulled back), DPRK, Russia. The US likes those odds. The US feels it can deal with an isolated bloc of those countries and Trump feels he can maybe peel Russia away with time.

    China made a call and Trump seized on them trying to stand fast and rally the world to them to fight the US by giving everyone else a reprieve and thus no reason to stand with China while he leaves them isolated and alone. They can’t back down now so in a way I think Trump has them where he wants them. Namely standing alone, with the rest of the world negotiating with the US on terms which will doubtless include measures to pull them into the US orbit and away from China’s orbit in exchange for tariff relief.

    I don’t disagree with China’s call but they may have walked right into a trap of certain intent and design by the US. To be fair they didn’t have any great choices. If they just bowed their heads and pleaded on their knees things would also be bad for them. I’ve heard that Trump admin has been refusing meetings with envoys and so Trump and co are lying about China not trying to negotiate, it’s just a lie they’re pushing while they refuse to listen or treat with China so they can justify all of this and cast China as the belligerent aggressor who doesn’t want to be fair.

    It’s about isolating China. It’s about creating economic interests and incentives that isolate China and I think its working at least at this stage. The pause will cause most countries to come and negotiate and most will be given relief for token concessions which Trump will trumpet as big deals and big wins.

    The US may indeed be intent on devaluing their currency to make exports competitive but as part of this they have to isolate China, they have to smash Chinese industry and competitiveness and look what we have? China standing alone against the US, calling out to other nations who even now slink away from it leaving it alone because no one else wants this fight, they all want to take the out because the US is still too strong.

    China needs to use what strength it has to really hit the US.

    Though I worry it doesn’t matter. I worry they’ve built into their plans a hope that tariffs can continue to spiral out of control, that Chinese goods become unaffordable, that the economy crashes, that supply chains are forcibly rerouted and there are years of shortages but that they achieve a quick, fast, if painful decoupling from China leaving them free to isolate, sanction, blockade, and attempt to destroy China using their navy, their control of global finances to sanction and make trade with China for third party nations impossibly expensive or painful, and so on and use this to crush Chinese industry and economy, to break up the belt and road, to re-enslave the global south that China was trying to free with better loan and development terms. If that’s the case and capital doesn’t revolt and I think there’s a very good chance it doesn’t as at least tech capital seems to be standing with Trump and can always be bought off with specific exemptions for say Apple to import x amount per year not subject to tariffs then China has a hell of a fight ahead of them.

    And no rerouting goods through India for finishing for lower tariffs isn’t a long-term solution as at that point the capitalists begin to ask why they’re paying those higher Chinese wages and then a cut for the Indian finishers when they could just move production itself to India as Apple has been doing to a degree.

    The way for China to defeat the US and specifically Trump’s anti-Nixon shock was to rally other countries to it and create their own system based on common interests of resisting US tariffs and they seemed to be making moves to attempt this, but now no other major country on earth (save maybe Russia which is subject to sanctions instead of tariffs) has that common interest, the US quickly peeled them away by offering everyone else a way out but keeping China in the cross-hairs after China had already escalated leaving China alone locked in a loop of escalation with the US with other countries looking on but having no interest in challenging the US while it’s still this strong.




  • It’s begging to be weaponized against LGBTQ people to push selective cases to push the narrative that they’re all like that, just as the Nazis had regular columns on “Jewish crime” to give the impression the Jews were all criminals. Or to be used as a cover. I think in Russia there were stings for gay people done along similar lines, filmed and they’d often accuse them of being child molesters, of being after kids which was the homophobic narrative there.

    It’s a very sick individual-centered, glory-seeking approach to a problem which is fundamentally that capitalist cops don’t invest serious resources in this, are often predators themselves, etc because they don’t exist to protect the citizens but to protect capital. The solution then isn’t these individualist acts of violence and attempts at mob justice but collective action, not for views, not for clicks, not to portray oneself as some sort of hero but to actually tackle the problem. It’s also of course an issue of the family, of the lack of community involvement in each others lives which makes isolating kids easier. But that would require actual work, community-building, effort, it wouldn’t be dramatic, it wouldn’t stoke the egos of those involved, it wouldn’t sell on youtube, so nothing is done.


  • Nuclear umbrella’s are interesting to talk about but I think they’re a bluff against any kind of peer power. Washington is not going to get LA, NYC, Dallas, Denver, San Diego, Boston, Washington DC and a hundred other American cities wiped off the map to avenge say Seoul getting nuked or Berlin getting nuked by the DPRK or Russia respectively.

    Because nuclear war is hard to do in a limited way between nuclear powers. A nuclear power can nuke a non-nuclear power in a limited way because the non-nuclear power cannot respond with any nukes let alone a full barrage that completely destroys them. But once you hit back at a nuclear power that can wipe you off the map the doctrine states any limited strike is only an attempt to blind you and suppress your response before a full strike, you can’t know what is or isn’t coming in terms of more so protocol is launch a full response and at that point both parties are destroyed and those do no good to the umbrella party which previously was still intact and spared and could undertake other choices against the attacking party.

    Likewise I’d have doubts if China extended a nuclear umbrella to say Iran that they’d be willing to hit the US with a nuke because the US hit Iran.

    Certainly the US has a lot more to lose as does France in hitting back a big nuclear power than say China who is still a rising power, still does not have any kind of vassals, whose only interests in security are immediate neighbors like Vietnam/DPRK that they’ve assisted in the past militarily. But even there I think it would be a hard choice to make watching say the DPRK in flames but knowing if you hit the Americans back that Beijing and every other city in China will be in flames as well.

    The US might buy such an umbrella for the DPRK and say Vietnam from China and not hit them but they wouldn’t buy it for say Pakistan I think because of the dissimilarities there. Likewise the US probably buys Russia’s threats to defend Belarus because well they’ve backed them into a corner, they know they’ve backed them into a corner and they have almost nothing left. The US on the other hand and France can stand to lose a lot, they have a lot of countries and/or ocean between them and enemy states like Russia/China.

    I think it’s easier to turn the other cheek unless you really think you can suppress the enemy’s response.



  • Well in a way they would be but the US wants to be the one to actually field the weapons. The zionists have been saying they might resort to using their nukes and Trump and the US given the strategic situation are saying, “no, if they’re used, we’ll use them to assert our power and dominance and deterrence and enhance our credibility as an empire that can still fuck you up if you don’t obey us”. Plus the US doing it vs the zionist entity means less blow-back for the zionist entity directly. If the zionists do it, with the current climate against them through much of the world a BDS movement might build to a fever-pitch amid calls to completely isolate the outlaw state which would be a headache at least for the US requiring them to pour more resources in. But if the US does it, well the US is vital to world trade and though they’re pissing people off with tariffs presently it’s not practical to attempt to strangle them from a consumer point of view via buying choices and pressure campaigns given their size, reach, financial, economic, cultural, etc power.

    And best of all with the US they have Trump in power who has been sold as an aberration. They can simply push him out or he’ll die and then they paint his actions as too far, as being those of a dictator and that the US has changed™ and was like that then but has learned and is now better and a perfect angel.

    Mostly the US fears its vassals nuclearizing and gaining independence from them that way. Very few strategic enemy countries to the US don’t already have nuclear weapons already so the risk of proliferation is not really seen as a problem in using nukes. Vietnam still isn’t likely to pursue a nuclear weapons program but even if they were they’re important enough to China that the US couldn’t invade without Chinese retaliation anyways. Other than that who is there? The AES alliance in Africa might have the raw uranium to make nuclear weapons possible but they lack the industry, the science, the knowledge, and the base to put them together and build ICBMs anywhere near fast enough to be able to create a credible deterrent (though they are close enough to Europe they could get by with shorter range missiles able to hit 2500miles away in say Berlin or Paris and use that to threaten the US into backing off, still even that would take a lot of work).

    Importantly using nuclear weapons in defense of a vassal would the US may think re-assure other vassals like occupied Korea who have been murmuring about acquiring their own nukes, would re-assure them not to try and do that but that the US will use nukes in their favor if the time comes (hint: it won’t as long as the DPRK can hit numerous cities in the US mainland in retaliation which it should be able to soon). So it would be a credibility building maneuver after Ukraine’s humiliation.


  • I’ve often wondered and worried about this.

    It’s easy to be anti using nukes against another nuclear power that can completely destroy your country in retaliation (e.g. Russia), it’s not so common when the enemy is a non-nuclear power who your simulations show would defeat you in a conventional war leaving you humiliated, weakened, and looking both for the whole world.

    In such a situation it’s obvious the option there if you’d lose in a conventional war is to deploy nuclear weapons. When you’re the US you already have far too many of them for deterrence needs, they’re decaying, after Ukraine your credibility is in question and nuking a smaller power that can’t do the same back would send a message to the whole world: it doesn’t matter if we can’t defeat you conventionally, if our interests demand it we will obliterate you using nuclear weapons to maintain our empire and hegemony.

    It won’t cow China or Russia, it will cause them to build up even more capabilities and become alarmed but both already are to some degree by US saber rattling and actions in Ukraine as well as talk of actions in the SCS. But it doesn’t have to, the point then is it cows smaller regional powers to not dare to challenge the US, to know there is ZERO HOPE, (hope has been killed so to speak) of resisting if the US deems there to be a strong enough imperative. That you either bend over and submit at our sanctions or you pray you’re not important enough to war over because if the US goes to war and you’re important enough and you start defeating them, they’ll just nuke you. That’s the message it sends. That you cannot win against the US unless you’re a nuclear power and to nuclear powers it signals the US may be run by mad men who would even use nukes against them knowing they might be destroyed in the counter-attack.

    For some countries becoming a nuclear power is possible but not for most. It’s a time-consuming and expensive process to not only develop multiple, dozens of nuclear warheads but the capability to deliver them as payback intercontinentally to the US via ICBMs. It’s also a process you cannot hide and once the US knows they might be tempted to nuke you to stop you from getting any further to say nothing of sanctioning and blockading you as they have done with the DPRK.

    The thing is, what was stopping this from being done before was the US image, the propaganda narrative of this liberal/progressive shining city on a hill type place contrasted against “authoritarian” “dictatorships” of bad-places™, that it would look incredibly bad. But with Trump they’ve made a turn, no more of that, no more DEI, traditional values, traditional values and so on. Naked strength. And this I think is tied back to Ukraine, which was the moment they learned all that work, all that propaganda wasn’t enough to get the global south on their side at which point some faction (which I believe has power now) said basically well we need to revert to the old ways of hard power and intimidation and open gangsterism then, hence allowing Musk to tear down the edifices of this old way of trying to shape the world, to bulldoze them in favor of this new policy, this new naked oppression and power.

    More than that I’m afraid that Russia’s constant threats of having to use their nuclear weapons against the west if they got directly involved, of outlining a policy where if a defeat is imminent they reserve the right to use them IF such a defeat was in a war of strategic importance necessary to the survival of the nation. I’m afraid their successful usage of this has only emboldened US planners to think and plan along similar lines and logic, the precedent is there so to speak for them. For the US defeat in any war against an important regional power like Iran would be a danger to the survival of their nation-empire so under this rational they could easily justify it using this kind of thinking. The west will never miss a beat to weaponize the desperation of a weaker country (Russia compared to US+NATO) to advance the conversation, the window of the acceptable in their interests.

    And it makes sense from a cold calculating point of view. Most countries are not nuclear powers, those that are will not intervene and get in a direct war with the US to protect non-nuclear power countries who are not immediate neighbors and vital to security and interests (e.g. Vietnam and Korea for China, Ukraine, Georgia for Russia).

    I honestly worry about Yemen, compared to Iran that at least has some strategic importance to Russia and some economic importance to China in the B&R, who would be outraged on any grounds but moral ones if Yemen was nuked by the US or the zionists? Not many major powers and it would be awfully tempting to make an example of them, perhaps even to use it to send a message to Iran before hitting them with nuclear weapons that they’re serious and will use them.

    Fact is also the US and the zionist entity smell blood in the water. Iran has been routed, they are on the back foot and have suffered major strategic defeats. Their influence and power is at a multi-decade low. They’ve lost Syria and Assad, Hezbollah is dazed and somewhat weakened with Lebanon pounded and their supply lines through Syria now cut meaning Hezbollah is weakened after being decapitated. Hamas can’t be in a great position, there’s a question I’d say of how much ammunition and weaponry they may still have for a prolonged war and sad as it is to say the zionist entity has basically won the battle, they’ve won US support to take and colonize parts of Gaza, they’ve destroyed large parts of it, they’re trying to squeeze out the remaining Palestinians and I have doubts the Sunni Muslims in the region actually would do anything but some protests and flag burnings, nothing to topple the US regimes that rule them or cause the US to think twice in other words.

    So the US wants to inflict the final blow on Iran and lock down hegemony and control of west Asia as part of an ability to cut off the belt and road, to encircle and blockade China as well as control that vital crossroads. Trump would accept their fealty, their subjugation to the US, their renunciation of ties with China, their pledge of obedience to the zionist entity, their in other words removal from the chessboard as an impediment to US control of the region.


  • Hmmm. Will we see the US invade to claim the canal anyways? Or perhaps just lean on Panama to invalidate the contracts and seize the ports to sell to the US? Guess we’ll find out how much bite the US has left.

    There’s also this:

    The person added the development does not mean the deal has been called off, and April 2 is not a hard deadline. The second source, who also declined to be identified for similar reasons, said talks are still very much underway.

    Also apparently these are only 2 of 5 ports around the canal. It’s interesting, the way the US propaganda rags phrase it China has exclusive control of both ends of the canal because of these ports.

    Probably the company tries to do something to ease the pressure at home and give the US something but what that might be I don’t know. I could see them trying to do something like selling some sort of stake but not outright control to Blackrock, something that can be presented as not capitulating in China but as a successful raid and seizing of value and a veto over port use by the US or something. I don’t see the US backing down on this and when push comes to shove they can just use sanctions to pressure the company.