

and since itās likely that there is no writeup, I am now already starting with āpolymarket site:lesswrong.comā
we all know the abyss would get upset if I donāt visit enough
Iām @froztbyte more or less everywhere that matters


and since itās likely that there is no writeup, I am now already starting with āpolymarket site:lesswrong.comā
we all know the abyss would get upset if I donāt visit enough


hey awful, a Question:
do any of yāall know if thereās a decent writeup of the rationalist/hanson/thiel pre-history of prediction markets (a la polymarket etc) before they hit the much-heightened popularity of the last ~18mo?


the only kind of spine casey has is the kind in his old school ringbinders, and you canāt convince me otherwise


fuckin casey is at it again
havenāt got time to sneer it just yet, but had to share


itās funny because itās almost directly the eve capsuleer picture, but we already knew these dipshits donāt read
also, how would this work? body grows old, but brain justā¦.doesnāt? self-rejuvenating hermet crab brain!


ooh, brava!


may they enjoy their introduction(s) to tomato milkshake ducks and shiver in fear nightly at the memory of feeling unpopular


Iāve seen a handful of security people claim different kinds of yields with some of this shit. I havenāt gone to read up in depth but I wouldnāt be too surprised a lot of them run around with unstated assumptions/provisos in their thonkposts (this shit is expensive (for research volume) and only some people can afford the science experiments)
Got a list of a couple of names Iām keeping an eye on as the first tokenprice-pocalypse (that needs a better word) takes place


it continues to be amazing to me that this is the āhigh impactā area theyāre going with: even if their analysis systems are better (and frankly I still donāt buy this wholesale, thereās a whole rest of the owl being handwaved[0]), bug-elimination is by definition diminishing returns so you can only fanfare like this the first time
[0] - having fucking gigantic budgets to throw at running a parse of every single repo and every test condition/simulation you wish to certainly does help a hell of a lot, even moreso when you can shell out to a half-dozen second stage review corpsā¦


the āmarginā is load bearing; formula here is operating income divided by revenue


oh that one, right!


[2] fuck trying to find the double acute accent or w/e itās called over the o
in afrikaans: ādeeltekenā
in english: I literally can never remember it, but I remember āumlautā


Iāve seen the pattern be used as an enterprise pricing dodge before: rather than sign the whole org up at $$$, everyone signs up themselves at $ (and maybe get to claim or somesuch)
another reading could be that someone in leadership/security went āholy shit this exposure is terribleā and put forth a policy including āno personalā and the poor little promptfondler is left ashen-faced upon reading that the policy instruction actually thought of the first obvious workaround


that made me smile good and proper, ty for the lol
I love the orangeposters in there, some of them sure are thonkers


or sunset super-voting shares within seven years
weird number to pick given they might not last that long if felon and friends arenāt removed earlier onā¦


āYou should assume that youāre being manipulated until they have better systems in place,ā says Lily Ray, founder of the search engine optimisation (SEO) and AI search consultancy Algorythmic. "Weāre moving towards this āone true answerā world.
from here
on the one hand Iām all āsave me from marketroidsā, on the other all āoh so weāve solved philosophy?ā
dear god what a fucking sentence to be saying as a description of the moment. and Iād fucking bet theyāre talking to their customers in the same terms/language


yup, that paper really went places


damned shame they couldnāt both lose


Ms. A reported extensive experience working with active appearance models (AAMs) and large language models (LLMs)ābut never chatbotsāin school and as a practicing medical professional, with a firm understanding of how such technologies work. Following a ā36-hour sleep deficitā while on call, she first started using OpenAIās GPT-4o for a variety of tasks that varied from mundane tasks to attempting to find out if her brother, a software engineer who died three years earlier, had left behind an AI version of himself that she was āsupposed to findā so that she could ātalk to him again.ā
from here. what follows just gets more screech-inducing
good morning
that fuckin company had another funding round
the further one reads, the more depressing it gets
cool so itās going to be even longer before one can buy affordable computers again
I wish all of this a very fuck off and stop already :|