scratsearcher 🔍🔮📊🎲

Lemmy & Fediverse enjoyer 🗿🍷

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Joined 3 months ago
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Cake day: November 7th, 2024

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  • During the first cold war conflicts happened outside of the super-powers:

    • Vietnam 🇻🇳 and North-Korea 🇰🇵💥🇰🇷

    This time conflicts will happen in Siberia, Africa and Middle east. I also think Indonesia and Pakistan will be center of major conflicts between China, India and the USA. These conflicts will costs some millions of lives, but not touch the empires heartlands, so it will not get nuclear again imo.








  • You make good points in favor of the UK. Still from my viewpoint the US has some favorable cards and sits on a longer lever in the long term in the bilateral relation.

    1. Blockade could begin “soft” through tariffs and economic favors to other trading partners at first. Germany, Europe’s biggest economy, exports most of its goods to the United States, so the EU depends more on the relations to the US than the UK. Tightening that bottleneck to get concessions rather than cutting it off completely.
    2. And where would Britain get fuel from, 34% of UK fuel comes from the US according to oec trade balances? You need a lot of fuel reserves for a navy and air-force nowadays, not to mention to sustain a population. The U.S. is the biggest fossil fuel exporter in the world right now, and its growing into a petrol/oil-state.
    3. The US can offer France and Germany protection from China (because its military is capable and the best in the world) no tariffs and cheap fossil fuel to stay neutral. The US would need to split the EU and NATO into different factions infighting for this, which they already kinda did: Poland can not import the same level of chips as Germany from the US politico, while Orban supports Trump.