Please limit posts about the ongoing situation to this thread for the time being (as long as this is pinned). Please include sources for any news to avoid spreading misinformation.
Video clip goes on to say that Khamenei personally gives the order to attack hospitals. I think this may be a bad tack for them on a lot of levels.
- It brings more attention to all the hospitals, ambulances, health workers, etc. the entity has destroyed. It creates an instant point of contradiction that zio supporters can’t argue your way out of.
- You’re going to unite people even more by threatening to murder the religious figures people unite around more than almost anything else.
- IF you did somehow manage to pull that off, well, good luck with your neighbors.
❌Israel and silencing the truth🤫
🔺Here’s how the Israeli regime forces detained the reporter of the Turkish TRT channel while he was giving live coverage of Iran’s missile attacks, in front of the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange building.
🇮🇷 Iranian media publish photographs and names of Iranian children killed by the zionist army during its aggression against the country.
Al Jazeera saying no injuries or impacts reported in Israel
Keyword being reported of course
New missiles launched at Israel
Yoav Groweiss
People here have never stopped justifying the shelling of hospitals in the Gaza Strip, but the second they fire on a hospital here, suddenly everyone comes out against the violation of the laws of war. We are like the player who never stops playing dirty, but the second someone touches him, he throws himself to the ground and screams Foul.
Israeli media: Sirens sound in Haifa, Akka, and Nahariya
— 🇮🇱/🇮🇷 Netanyahu: ‘There are personal costs in a war, my son even had to cancel a wedding’
@Middle_East_Spectator
😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂
—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 BREAKING: Israel has already started rationing interceptor missiles, according to top officials – New York Times
@Middle_East_Spectator
—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 Hebrew Media: ‘The latest Iranian wave was only about 25 missiles, but our air defenses are getting significantly weaker — we are worried that Iran may launch more significant attacks as time goes on’
@Middle_East_Spectator
Israeli government saying over 5000 settlers have become homeless due to Iranian attacks
Also Dutch media: ‘Has tiran Khamenei gone too far with bombing a hospital?’
You can’t make this shit up man. No fully functioning hospital left in Gaza and now it’s a problem?
🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 NEW: President Trump is hesitant to approve U.S. strikes on Iran unless it’s certain the Fordow nuclear facility can be destroyed using the GBU-57 “bunker buster” bomb.
➡ While some defense officials believe the bomb could work, others argue only a tactical nuclear weapon could destroy the deeply buried site.
➡ Trump has ruled out nuclear options and is holding off on strikes for now, hoping the threat alone might push Iran to negotiate.
— The Guardian — ❗️NOTE: Iran’s Fordow nuclear enrichment facility is located approximately 90 meters deep underground, and the maximum penentration of a single GBU-57 ‘MOP’ (Massive Ordnance Penentrator) is 60 meters in optimal conditions.
The penentration capability of the MOP is likely much lower in rock formations with a higher PSI density, like the granite mountains near Qom where Fordow is located.
The Americans would almost certainly need to drop at least 3-4 of these bombs in the very same pinpoint location to even have a chance at damaging the main underground enrichment halls, assuming they are not dispersed.
Even then, U.S. military research shows that every ‘additional’ GBU-57 dropped on the original crater only increases the depth by around 20-30%, and reaches a total plateau at around the 4th bomb.
The debris / smoke that would be emitted from the initial strike on the mountain would already complicate the dropping of the second bomb due to limited visibility, which impacts accuracy and effectiveness.
All of this is assuming that Fordow is located directly under the 90 meters of granite rock, without any additional fortifications like UHP (Ultra High Performance) concrete surrounding the enrichment halls, as well as blast proof ceilings and air-burst shafts.
The only RELIABLE way to destroy Fordow is with a tactical nuclear warhead, which Trump will never do, because that would almost certainly open up the way for Putin to use tactical nukes in Ukraine.
@Middle_East_Spectator
— 🇮🇷/🇮🇱 How’s the situation of Iran’s ballistic missile program?
Israel claims it has now destroyed two thirds of Iran’s TEL launchers capable of launching ballistic missiles towards Israel. They say this is the reason Iran has been firing less missiles on a daily basis compared to at the start.
However, in reality this likely isn’t the case. We have actually seen less than 10 TEL launchers visuably confirmed to be destroyed. But then why is Iran seemingly ‘unable’ to launch large misile salvos at once?
Iran has a vast network of underground missile bases spread all throughout the country, with the main ones being located in Western Iran, near Tabriz, Khorammabad, and Kermanshah. These sites are located deep underground, and are practically invulnerable to conventional Israeli strikes.
However, in the opening strike on Friday, Israel managed to target some of these bases and collapse their tunnel entrances. It will take Iran days to remove the rubble and reopen the entrances, and even then, they will be vulnerable to repeated attacks due to Israeli air superiority in the West.
The majority of missiles being launched at Israel currently are originating from Central and Eastern Iran, places like Shiraz, Shahrud, or even Mashhad. This is because Israeli air superiority is much less consolidated in these areas.
However, even with the worst case scenario of only 100-200 TELs left, Iran should be able to carry out a large coordinated missile strike. So why don’t they?
Carrying out a large-scale coordinated missile strike requires planning and staging. In the staging phase, launchers are taken out of their bases and prepared for launch. In areas where Israel has sufficient air superiority, they can quickly detect these launchers and preemptively strike them, potentially risking high losses.
This is why Iran is currently only using 1-2 missile bases at a time. They are carrying out ‘hit-and-run’ tactics: Take out 20-30 launchers, fire, and immediately withdraw back into the tunnels to avoid any losses.
When Iran feels more confident about its ability to launch large and coordinated attacks, they will do so. Because they have not run out of missiles and launchers, and won’t anytime soon. But the situation at Iran’s Western missile bases must first be addressed in order to proceed with this.
Over all, the vast majority of Iran’s missile bases are fully intact, with the notable exception of possibly Tabriz, which we saw footage of large secondary explosions, implying that the underground structure was hit. For most of Iran’s ‘damaged’ missile bases, it’s simply a matter of time — removing the rubble from the entrance tunnels and getting back to work.
When Israel’s defense systems start becoming significantly degraded, which we will likely see in the coming days, Iran will probably launch larger attacks with its less sophisticated missiles with bigger warheads. Using those now would be a waste.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Wrt the Iron Dome: why not launch a shitload of missiles at the same time to further deplete what’s left before they’re able to restock
