Image is of Gazans breaking their fast with the Iftar meal during the ongoing Ramadan.

Due to a request by @miz@hexbear.net, this thread’s COTW is Qatar.


The ceasefire deal broke down early last week after Israel unilaterally changed the terms of the agreement and then blamed Hamas for not meeting them. Violence against civilians has rapidly accelerated to pre-ceasefire levels, with many hundreds dead already, aid once again cut off, and Israeli soldiers once again entering and occupying the attritional labyrinth that is Gaza.

I’m not yet in a position to make any solid predictions or analysis, as the geopolitical situation in and around Israel has changed fairly substantially over the last 6 months; in some ways benefiting Israel, and in other ways not. We know for sure how Hamas and Ansarallah are reacting (thankfully, with open hostility to both Israel and the United States), but the state of Hezbollah has been a giant question mark for months now, and precisely what Iran plans to do (beyond the usual level of supplying weaponry and intelligence to all the allies it can) is unknown. Syria will be almost certainly be a big wildcard, and we’ll have to see if the compradors in Damascus can weather the storm.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • US aid freeze shakes Southeast Asia, NGOs scramble for alternative funding (archive link)

    Me when I can’t get US funds to continue the reproduction of problems so that NGOs continue to have “jobs”

    article

    ​ The recent dismantling of the U.S. Agency for International Development has plunged Southeast Asian NGOs into crisis, forcing them to urgently seek new funding sources as they struggle to continue aiding refugees and vulnerable communities.

    Keo* is hiding out in one of Bangkok’s 400 Buddhist temples. “We had no choice,” says the Cambodian dissident, who fled to Thailand two years ago with his wife and three sons to escape persecution by the Phnom Penh regime. Since mid-March, the family has been sleeping in a makeshift 130-square-foot room provided by local monks after they were forced to leave a secure apartment once funded by the NGO Manushya Foundation.

    The Manushya Foundation, which relied on the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) for 75% of its operating budget, lost access to $560,000 in funding after U.S. President Donald Trump shuttered the agency. Unable to cover rent or operational costs, the NGO has already laid off seven of its 15 staff members in Bangkok. The organization is now scrambling to find new sources of funding to rehouse 35 political refugees from authoritarian regimes in Cambodia, Laos, and Vietnam.

    ‘People’s lives are at risk’

    “All the donors tell me we’re not the only ones asking for help — and that we need to accept this new reality,” said Emilie Palamy Pradichit, the foundation’s director. But on the ground, she warned, “people’s lives are at risk.” A last-minute boost from existing donors and a modest private foundation grant have kept the organization afloat for now. “We’ve bought a little time to diversify our funding,” she said.

    Leon de Riedmatten, director of The Border Consortium (TBC) that supports 108,000 Mynmar refugees in western Thailand, called the fallout from USAID’s collapse “a total fog.” Sixty percent of TBC’s budget was tied to U.S. aid. In response, de Riedmatten travelled to Australia and New Zealand in search of alternative backers. While he was heard, there were no major commitments. As for Europe? “More money is going to defense,” he said — and humanitarian aid is paying the price.

    Given the uncertainty, de Riedmatten is pushing for refugee integration in Thailand. “We’re urging the authorities to let refugees work outside the camps,” he said. Meanwhile, he noted, the U.S. Supreme Court recently ordered the federal government to resume payments to NGOs frozen under the Trump administration. Whether Washington will follow through remains unclear.

    ‘Time for NGOs to support each other’

    “This is the end of development aid as we knew it,” said Pradichit, acknowledging the sector’s overdependence on U.S. support. From Manila, Ryan Silverio, who coordinates the ASEAN SOGIE Caucus — a Southeast Asian LGBTQ rights group — is calling for cross-sector collaboration. “With democracy in retreat and the climate crisis worsening, it’s time for NGOs across sectors — child welfare, human rights, environmental — to support each other.”

    In what she describes as a “more isolationist world,” Grace Stanhope, a researcher at Australia’s Lowy Institute, sees a broader trend: “We’re witnessing a general decline in aid,” she said. “The U.S. withdrawal and shrinking European contributions may signal to Southeast Asia that the West is abandoning what was once called the liberal international order.”

    (*Name has been changed for security reasons)